Final Score: Marlins 2 - Phillies 1
Friday, July 4, 2003 at 6:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
43-43 Rating 1492
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
47-35 Rating 1524
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 61 83
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 86 82
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.8
Win percentage 50% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 60%