Updated daily · NFL, NBA, MLB & NHL · historical data back to 1968
Sports analytics, win probabilities and season forecasts
SharpModels provides benchmark team ratings, matchup probabilities and full season forecasts across the NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB.
Power Ratings
NFL RatingsNFL
1Seattle Seahawks1776
2Buffalo Bills1703
3Los Angeles Rams1684
4Denver Broncos1678
5Houston Texans1666
MLB
1Los Angeles Dodgers1578
2Milwaukee Brewers1568
3New York Yankees1549
5Chicago Cubs1541
NBA
1New York Knicks1999
2San Antonio Spurs1952
4Detroit Pistons1749
5Boston Celtics1729
NHL
1Carolina Hurricanes1616
2Colorado Avalanche1582
3Buffalo Sabres1553
4Dallas Stars1553
5Tampa Bay Lightning1550
NFL Playoff Picture
Full Playoff ChancesAFC
NFC
MLB Playoff Picture
Full Playoff ChancesAL
NL
Chicago Cubs95%
Toughest Remaining Schedules
Full NFL Strength of ScheduleNFL
MLB
New York Mets23.4
Colorado Rockies23.5
Miami Marlins23.6
Featured Articles
All Articles
NFL
2026 NFL Strength of Schedule: Full Preseason Breakdown by Division
A one-off, point-in-time breakdown of every team's 2026 schedule difficulty, conference by conference and division by division.
Read article MethodologyHow Strength of Schedule Works
Why we give every team a flat, average rating to isolate how hard their remaining games really are.
Read article MethodologyHow the MLB Season Simulator Works
The same season-simulation approach as the NFL model, adapted for a 162-game schedule and MLB's own playoff format.
Read article MethodologyHow the NFL Season Simulator Works
Why we simulate the season thousands of times, and why team ratings evolve as it unfolds.
Read article CodingBuilding a Clean NFL Elo Rating Model From Results
The fundamental problem every sports model has to solve: how do you actually measure team strength?
Read article CodingAdding Home Advantage to NFL Elo Ratings
Extending the baseline Elo model to account for the real, measurable edge of playing at home.
Read article CodingAdding Margin of Victory to NFL Elo Ratings
Why a 3-point win and a 30-point win shouldn't move a team's rating by the same amount.
Read article CodingAdding Seasonal Carryover to NFL Elo Ratings
How much of a team's rating should reset between seasons, and how much should carry over?
Read articleBenchmark sports ratings and matchup probabilities
SharpModels provides benchmark team ratings, matchup probabilities and season forecasts across major US sports, built to give clear, consistent comparisons between teams, seasons and matchups.