Sports analytics, win probabilities and season forecasts
SharpModels' benchmark team ratings power our matchup probabilities and full season forecasts across the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and Soccer.
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Featured Articles
All ArticlesEPL Round 5 2026: SharpModels vs Market
Ten Premier League matches, SharpModels against the market, with recent form and head to head behind every gap.
Read article NFLNFL Week 2 2026: SharpModels vs Market
Every Week 2 game, model against market, with each side's Week 1 result and rating move behind the gap. The second entry in a season long watching brief.
Read article EPLEPL Round 4 2026: SharpModels vs Market
Nine English Premier League matches, SharpModels against the market, with recent form and head to head behind every gap.
Read article NFLNFL Week 1 2026: SharpModels vs Market
Sixteen Week 1 games, SharpModels against the market, game by game. The first entry in a season long watching brief.
Read article MethodologyWhen a Backtested Trading Model Met Real Money
A 2015 reinforcement learning thesis traded Betfair markets with real money, and made only 15% of what its backtest predicted. Here's the gap, and why it still matters.
Read article NFL2026 AFC East Preview
Buffalo and New England are in lockstep with the market. Miami isn't, and the reasons why are all real.
Read article NFL2026 AFC North Preview
Joe Burrow's healthy return moves Cincinnati 13 points against our own model. Here's every AFC North team's real offseason story.
Read article NFL2026 AFC South Preview
Houston's model-market gap is the widest in the division with no clear negative news to explain it. Indianapolis and Tennessee tell a different story.
Read articleBenchmark sports ratings and matchup probabilities
SharpModels provides benchmark team ratings, matchup probabilities and season forecasts across major US sports, built to give clear, consistent comparisons between teams, seasons and matchups.