Heat @ Warriors

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Heat 100 - Warriors 120
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Miami
Heat
3-5 Rating 1474
Form: LWWLW
100 – 120
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Golden State Warriors +4.2
Golden State
Warriors
5-3 Rating 1495
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Warriors
All-time wins 37 38
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 105.2 106.5
Last meeting 112 135

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Warriors
Games played 8 8
Avg points scored 118.0 117.5
Avg points conceded 122.9 114.6
Win percentage 38% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 75%