Lakers @ Warriors

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lakers 95 - Warriors 112
Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Los Angeles
Lakers
4-1 Rating 1656
Form: WWWLW
95 – 112
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Lakers +0.8
Golden State
Warriors
2-3 Rating 1430
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lakers Warriors
All-time wins 166 88
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 112.2 108.7
Last meeting 127 105

Key Season Stats

Stat Lakers Warriors
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 123.2 117.6
Avg points conceded 113.6 119.4
Win percentage 80% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%