Final Score: Thunder 115 - Lakers 110
Monday, May 11, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET

Thunder @ Lakers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
71-18 Rating 1960
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
66%
34%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.2
Lakers
57-34 Rating 1675
Form: LWLLL
Lakers

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Lakers
All-time wins 118 147
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 104.9 104.4
Last meeting 131 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Lakers
Games played 89 91
Avg points scored 119.3 114.9
Avg points conceded 107.6 113.8
Win percentage 80% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 77% 67%