Heat @ Hawks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Heat 129 - Hawks 117
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Miami
Heat
0-4 Rating 1429
Form: LLLLL
129 – 117
Model Probability
24%
76%
Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks +7.1
Atlanta
Hawks
2-2 Rating 1588
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Hawks
All-time wins 94 71
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 100.8 97.8
Last meeting 143 117

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Hawks
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 109.0 121.0
Avg points conceded 121.8 111.8
Win percentage 0% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 0%