Pistons @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Pistons 128 - Heat 111
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Detroit
Pistons
1-0 Rating 1702
Form: LLWLW
128 – 111
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Detroit Pistons +0.7
Miami
Heat
0-1 Rating 1485
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pistons Heat
All-time wins 67 84
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 95.9 96.8
Last meeting 110 121

Key Season Stats

Stat Pistons Heat
Games played 1 1
Avg points scored 121.0 106.0
Avg points conceded 113.0 131.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % - 0%