Final Score: Celtics 147 - Heat 129
Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Celtics @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Celtics | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 110 | 75 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 101.2 | 99.3 |
| Last meeting | 98 | 96 |
| Stat | Celtics | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 75 | 76 |
| Avg points scored | 114.0 | 120.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 106.9 | 117.8 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 63% | 63% |
Recent Results
Celtics
@ Atlanta Hawks
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 214
102-112
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 213
114-99
vs Atlanta Hawks
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 211
109-102
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 228
119-109
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 194
92-102
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 229
117-112
vs Golden State Warriors
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 219
120-99
vs Phoenix Suns
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 232
120-112
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 211
111-100
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 206
102-104
Heat
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 228
119-109
@ Indiana Pacers
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 253
118-135
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 277
128-149
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 223
120-103
vs San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 247
111-136
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105