Final Score: Bucks 105 - Heat 112
Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Bucks @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bucks | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 64 | 89 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 100.9 | 102.1 |
| Last meeting | 128 | 117 |
| Stat | Bucks | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 64 | 66 |
| Avg points scored | 111.1 | 120.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.0 | 116.7 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 67% |
Recent Results
Bucks
vs Phoenix Suns
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 243
114-129
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -39 · Total: 221
91-130
vs Utah Jazz
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 212
113-99
vs Atlanta Hawks
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 244
113-131
vs Boston Celtics
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -27 · Total: 189
81-108
@ Chicago Bulls
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -23 · Total: 217
97-120
vs New York Knicks
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: -29 · Total: 225
98-127
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 234
118-116
vs Miami Heat
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 245
128-117
vs Toronto Raptors
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
Heat
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97