Final Score: Wizards 129 - Heat 150
Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Wizards @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Wizards | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 48 | 105 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 98.3 | 102.8 |
| Last meeting | 101 | 132 |
| Stat | Wizards | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 63 | 65 |
| Avg points scored | 112.3 | 120.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 123.3 | 116.5 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 17% | 66% |
Recent Results
Wizards
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 256
118-138
vs Utah Jazz
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 234
112-122
@ Orlando Magic
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 235
109-126
vs Houston Rockets
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 241
118-123
vs Toronto Raptors
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 259
125-134
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 222
96-126
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 217
98-119
vs Charlotte Hornets
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 241
112-129
vs Indiana Pacers
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 249
131-118
vs Indiana Pacers
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
Heat
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111