Final Score: Heat 123 - Pelicans 111
Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Heat @ Pelicans
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 33 | 24 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 98.6 | 95.2 |
| Last meeting | 125 | 106 |
| Stat | Heat | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 55 | 55 |
| Avg points scored | 119.5 | 114.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.3 | 120.4 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 27% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 32% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
vs Orlando Magic
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 257
124-133
@ Phoenix Suns
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 213
111-102
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 263
147-116
Pelicans
vs Sacramento Kings
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 214
120-94
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 234
119-115
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 278
137-141
@ Charlotte Hornets
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 197
95-102
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 238
114-124
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 30, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 220
114-106
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 199
95-104
@ San Antonio Spurs
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 199
104-95
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 260
133-127
vs Detroit Pistons
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 216
104-112