Final Score: Heat 96 - Celtics 98
Friday, February 6, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Heat @ Celtics
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 75 | 109 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 99.3 | 101.2 |
| Last meeting | 114 | 119 |
| Stat | Heat | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 52 | 51 |
| Avg points scored | 119.9 | 115.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.0 | 108.6 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 65% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 67% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
vs Orlando Magic
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 257
124-133
@ Phoenix Suns
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 213
111-102
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 263
147-116
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 237
110-127
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 247
130-117
@ Golden State Warriors
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -23 · Total: 247
112-135
Celtics
@ Houston Rockets
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 207
114-93
@ Dallas Mavericks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 210
110-100
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +28 · Total: 186
107-79
vs Sacramento Kings
Jan 30, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 205
112-93
vs Atlanta Hawks
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 223
106-117
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 196
102-94
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 225
111-114
@ Brooklyn Nets
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 256
130-126
vs Indiana Pacers
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 223
119-104
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 207
103-104