Final Score: Heat 112 - Warriors 135
Monday, January 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Heat @ Warriors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 37 | 37 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 105.1 | 106.1 |
| Last meeting | 110 | 96 |
| Stat | Heat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 42 | 43 |
| Avg points scored | 119.5 | 116.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.9 | 113.3 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 35% | 73% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 242
122-120
vs Boston Celtics
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 233
114-119
vs Phoenix Suns
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 248
127-121
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 236
112-124
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -24 · Total: 222
99-123
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 231
125-106
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 240
115-125
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
Warriors
vs Charlotte Hornets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 252
136-116
vs New York Knicks
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 239
126-113
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +22 · Total: 216
119-97
vs Atlanta Hawks
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 235
111-124
vs Sacramento Kings
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +34 · Total: 240
137-103
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 233
120-113
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 205
102-103
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -37 · Total: 225
94-131
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 257
132-125