Final Score: Thunder 120 - Heat 122
Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Thunder @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Thunder | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 46 | 34 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average points | 102.0 | 97.9 |
| Last meeting | 124 | 112 |
| Stat | Thunder | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 42 | 41 |
| Avg points scored | 121.1 | 119.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 107.7 | 117.8 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 79% | 67% |
Recent Results
Thunder
@ Houston Rockets
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 202
111-91
vs San Antonio Spurs
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 217
119-98
vs Miami Heat
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 236
124-112
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 233
117-116
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 254
129-125
vs Charlotte Hornets
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -27 · Total: 221
97-124
@ Phoenix Suns
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 213
105-108
@ Golden State Warriors
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: +37 · Total: 225
131-94
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 219
124-95
vs Atlanta Hawks
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 269
140-129
Heat
vs Boston Celtics
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 233
114-119
vs Phoenix Suns
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 248
127-121
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 236
112-124
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -24 · Total: 222
99-123
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 231
125-106
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 240
115-125
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116