Final Score: Hawks 127 - Heat 115
Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Hawks @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Hawks | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 70 | 92 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 97.5 | 100.2 |
| Last meeting | 111 | 126 |
| Stat | Hawks | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 51 |
| Avg points scored | 117.2 | 120.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.3 | 117.8 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 64% |
Recent Results
Hawks
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 253
124-129
vs Houston Rockets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 190
86-104
@ Boston Celtics
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 223
117-106
vs Indiana Pacers
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 248
132-116
vs Phoenix Suns
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 213
110-103
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 246
124-122
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 222
110-112
vs Boston Celtics
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -26 · Total: 238
106-132
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 218
101-117
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 257
116-141
Heat
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
vs Orlando Magic
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 257
124-133
@ Phoenix Suns
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 213
111-102
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 263
147-116
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 237
110-127
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 247
130-117
@ Golden State Warriors
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -23 · Total: 247
112-135
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 242
122-120