Final Score: Heat 128 - Hawks 97
Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Heat @ Hawks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 92 | 71 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 100.3 | 97.7 |
| Last meeting | 115 | 127 |
| Stat | Heat | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 57 |
| Avg points scored | 119.6 | 117.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.2 | 118.4 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 40% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
vs Orlando Magic
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 257
124-133
@ Phoenix Suns
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 213
111-102
Hawks
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 224
117-107
@ Charlotte Hornets
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 217
107-110
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -22 · Total: 254
116-138
vs Charlotte Hornets
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 245
119-126
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 240
121-119
@ Miami Heat
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 242
127-115
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 253
124-129
vs Houston Rockets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 190
86-104
@ Boston Celtics
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 223
117-106
vs Indiana Pacers
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 248
132-116