Final Score: Grizzlies 120 - Heat 136
Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Grizzlies @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Grizzlies | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 27 | 31 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 96.6 | 98.3 |
| Last meeting | 114 | 146 |
| Stat | Grizzlies | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 54 | 57 |
| Avg points scored | 115.4 | 119.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.4 | 116.8 |
| Win percentage | 39% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 59% |
Recent Results
Grizzlies
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
@ Denver Nuggets
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 238
116-122
@ Golden State Warriors
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 227
113-114
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 237
115-122
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 250
115-135
@ Sacramento Kings
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 254
129-125
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 265
137-128
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 245
114-131
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 30, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 220
106-114
vs Charlotte Hornets
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 209
97-112
Heat
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
vs Orlando Magic
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 257
124-133