Final Score: Heat 117 - Bucks 128
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Heat @ Bucks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 89 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 102.0 | 100.8 |
| Last meeting | 106 | 103 |
| Stat | Heat | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 55 |
| Avg points scored | 120.0 | 112.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.9 | 115.4 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 48% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 243
118-125
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 229
116-113
Bucks
vs Toronto Raptors
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 257
139-118
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 203
110-93
@ Orlando Magic
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 224
116-108
@ Orlando Magic
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -19 · Total: 217
99-118
vs Indiana Pacers
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 204
105-99
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 278
141-137
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 246
131-115
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 186
79-107
@ Washington Wizards
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 208
99-109