Final Score: Pistons 110 - Heat 121
Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Pistons @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pistons | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 67 | 83 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 95.8 | 96.6 |
| Last meeting | 112 | 118 |
| Stat | Pistons | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 62 | 64 |
| Avg points scored | 116.8 | 120.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 109.6 | 116.6 |
| Win percentage | 73% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 70% | 65% |
Recent Results
Pistons
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 212
105-107
@ San Antonio Spurs
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 227
106-121
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 222
109-113
@ Orlando Magic
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 198
106-92
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 241
122-119
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 240
124-116
vs San Antonio Spurs
Feb 23, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 217
103-114
@ Chicago Bulls
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
@ New York Knicks
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
@ Toronto Raptors
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +18 · Total: 208
113-95
Heat
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115