Final Score: Pistons 106 - Spurs 121
Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Pistons @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pistons
45-15 Rating 1800
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +4.4
Spurs
44-17 Rating 1836
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pistons Spurs
All-time wins 42 70
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 101.3 104.8
Last meeting 103 114

Key Season Stats

Stat Pistons Spurs
Games played 60 61
Avg points scored 117.2 118.2
Avg points conceded 109.5 111.4
Win percentage 75% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 78%