Final Score: Spurs 126 - Warriors 113
Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Spurs @ Warriors

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
37-16 Rating 1762
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +0.8
Warriors
29-25 Rating 1553
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Warriors
All-time wins 123 87
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 108.9 106.5
Last meeting 108 109

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Warriors
Games played 53 54
Avg points scored 118.0 115.6
Avg points conceded 112.2 113.5
Win percentage 70% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 67%