Final Score: Heat 122 - Rockets 123
Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Heat @ Rockets
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 34 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 101.4 | 100.8 |
| Last meeting | 115 | 105 |
| Stat | Heat | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 70 | 69 |
| Avg points scored | 120.3 | 113.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.1 | 109.8 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 71% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
Rockets
vs Atlanta Hawks
Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: +22 · Total: 212
117-95
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 240
116-124
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 192
92-100
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 212
107-105
@ Denver Nuggets
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -36 · Total: 222
93-129
vs Toronto Raptors
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 212
113-99
@ San Antonio Spurs
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 265
120-145
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 205
106-99
vs Golden State Warriors
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 228
113-115
@ Washington Wizards
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 241
123-118