Final Score: Spurs 136 - Heat 111
Monday, March 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Spurs @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Spurs | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 35 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 99.5 | 95.4 |
| Last meeting | 107 | 101 |
| Stat | Spurs | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 71 | 71 |
| Avg points scored | 119.0 | 120.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 111.7 | 117.2 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 69% | 64% |
Recent Results
Spurs
vs Indiana Pacers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 253
134-119
vs Phoenix Suns
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 201
101-100
@ Sacramento Kings
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +28 · Total: 236
132-104
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 234
119-115
vs Charlotte Hornets
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 217
115-102
vs Denver Nuggets
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 267
131-136
vs Boston Celtics
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 241
125-116
vs Houston Rockets
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +25 · Total: 265
145-120
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 228
116-112
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +15 · Total: 227
121-106
Heat
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98