Final Score: Lakers 134 - Heat 126
Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Lakers @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lakers | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 45 | 36 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 102.6 | 99.2 |
| Last meeting | 130 | 120 |
| Stat | Lakers | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 69 | 69 |
| Avg points scored | 116.4 | 120.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 114.9 | 116.9 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 66% |
Recent Results
Lakers
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 240
124-116
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 192
100-92
vs Denver Nuggets
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 252
127-125
vs Chicago Bulls
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 272
142-130
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 226
120-106
vs New York Knicks
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 207
110-97
vs Indiana Pacers
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 245
128-117
@ Denver Nuggets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 233
113-120
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 211
110-101
vs Sacramento Kings
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +24 · Total: 232
128-104
Heat
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124