Final Score: Heat 118 - Pacers 135
Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Heat @ Pacers
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 77 | 88 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 98.0 | 98.9 |
| Last meeting | 99 | 123 |
| Stat | Heat | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 74 | 74 |
| Avg points scored | 120.3 | 111.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.7 | 120.6 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 22% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 27% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 277
128-149
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 223
120-103
vs San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 247
111-136
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
Pacers
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 227
113-114
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 267
130-137
@ Orlando Magic
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 254
128-126
@ San Antonio Spurs
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 253
119-134
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 246
119-127
@ New York Knicks
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -26 · Total: 246
110-136
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 257
123-134
vs New York Knicks
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 193
92-101
vs Phoenix Suns
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 231
108-123
@ Sacramento Kings
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 223
109-114