Final Score: Heat 128 - Cavaliers 149
Friday, March 27, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Heat @ Cavaliers
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 82 | 58 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 98.3 | 97.2 |
| Last meeting | 120 | 103 |
| Stat | Heat | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 73 | 73 |
| Avg points scored | 120.2 | 119.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.3 | 115.0 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 62% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 223
120-103
vs San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 247
111-136
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
Cavaliers
vs Miami Heat
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 223
103-120
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 267
136-131
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 217
111-106
@ Chicago Bulls
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 225
115-110
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 239
123-116
vs Dallas Mavericks
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 250
120-130
@ Dallas Mavericks
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: +33 · Total: 243
138-105
@ Orlando Magic
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 250
122-128
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 216
115-101
vs Boston Celtics
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 207
98-109