Updated September 20, 2026 · refreshes daily around 8:30am ET

MLB Playoff Chances

Modelled playoff, division, pennant and World Series odds for every team.

Best AL
New York Yankees 100%
Best NL
Milwaukee Brewers 100%

All Teams Playoff Chances

Sorted by current playoff probability
Team Division Playoffs Division Pennant World Series
New York Yankees AL East 100% 6% 21% 10%
Milwaukee Brewers NL Central 100% 100% 31% 20%
Chicago Cubs NL Central 100% <1% 8% 4%
Boston Red Sox AL East 100% <1% 11% 4%
Tampa Bay Rays AL East 100% 94% 31% 14%
Los Angeles Dodgers NL West 100% 100% 32% 20%
Atlanta Braves NL East 100% 100% 10% 5%
San Diego Padres NL West 98% <1% 9% 5%
Philadelphia Phillies NL East 98% <1% 9% 5%
Cleveland Guardians AL Central 93% 55% 16% 6%
Chicago White Sox AL Central 90% 45% 6% 1%
Texas Rangers AL West 64% 59% 8% 3%
Houston Astros AL West 48% 41% 6% 2%
Arizona Diamondbacks NL West 5% <1% <1% <1%
Toronto Blue Jays AL East 4% <1% 1% <1%
Baltimore Orioles AL East 1% <1% <1% <1%
San Francisco Giants NL West <1% <1% <1% <1%
New York Mets NL East <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh Pirates NL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Nationals NL East <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Twins AL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cincinnati Reds NL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
Detroit Tigers AL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
Los Angeles Angels AL West <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Louis Cardinals NL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
Seattle Mariners AL West <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletics AL West <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami Marlins NL East <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado Rockies NL West <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas City Royals AL Central <1% <1% <1% <1%
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