Blue Jays @ Orioles
Blue Jays
Model Probability
Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays +0.0
Baltimore Orioles
MLB 2026 season
Record
75-81
VS EXPECTED
-1.8
Rating
1495
Rating Rank
16
Season Outlook
Full Playoff ChancesRating trend through time
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 3–0 | Brewers +3 | Brewers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 1–0 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 6–5 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 7–1 | Orioles +6 | Mets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 7–5 | Orioles +2 | Mets +0.2 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles Yankees | 387-520-5 | 42.7% | -21.7 | 861 |
| Orioles Red Sox | 397-495 | 44.5% | -19.8 | 839 |
| Orioles Blue Jays | 348-407-3 | 46.1% | -22.3 | 726 |
| Orioles Tigers | 332-283 | 54.0% | +6.2 | 576 |
| Orioles Guardians | 307-308 | 49.9% | -20.6 | 567 |
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