Cardinals @ Pirates
Cardinals
Model Probability
Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB 2026 season
Record
79-77
VS EXPECTED
6.2
Rating
1493
Rating Rank
17
Season Outlook
Full Playoff ChancesRating trend through time
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 3–4 | Pirates +1 | Pirates +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 5–6 | Pirates +1 | Pirates +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 5–8 | Pirates +3 | Pirates +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 4–7 | Pirates +3 | Brewers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 5–4 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.7 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates Cardinals | 439-512-4 | 46.2% | -7.5 | 913 |
| Pirates Cubs | 485-466-1 | 51.0% | +11.0 | 907 |
| Pirates Reds | 396-439 | 47.4% | -4.6 | 801 |
| Pirates Nationals | 348-322 | 51.9% | +5.3 | 636 |
| Pirates Mets | 321-342-2 | 48.4% | -9.9 | 624 |
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