Pirates @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Pirates 4 - Tigers 2
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Pirates
81-80 Rating 1491
Form: WLWLL
Pirates
4 – 2
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.2
Detroit
Tigers
76-85 Rating 1488
Form: WLLWW
Tigers

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Tigers
All-time wins 51 46
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Tigers
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 50% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 52%