Final Score: Nationals 4 - Tigers 2
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
74-84 Rating 1458
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.5
Tigers
74-84 Rating 1487
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Tigers
All-time wins 17 16
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 5.2
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Tigers
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.0
Win percentage 47% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 52%