Final Score: Nationals 3 - Cardinals 5
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
73-82 Rating 1459
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
75-80 Rating 1483
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cardinals
All-time wins 323 349
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cardinals
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 47% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 46%