Final Score: Nationals 4 - Padres 5
Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 271 | 252 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Nationals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 144 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 60% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
Padres
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Yankees
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs New York Yankees
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9