Final Score: Nationals 3 - Dodgers 5
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Nationals @ Dodgers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 218 | 315 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 8 |
| Stat | Nationals | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 142 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 59% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
Dodgers
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 21
8-13
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0