Final Score: Nationals 5 - Dodgers 6
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
67-76 Rating 1456
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.4
Dodgers
84-57 Rating 1574
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Dodgers
All-time wins 218 316
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 3.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Dodgers
Games played 143 141
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 47% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 60%