Final Score: Padres 3 - Reds 4
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Padres @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 314 | 353 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Padres | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 138 | 138 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 46% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Reds
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 22
5-17
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9