Final Score: Reds 10 - Cubs 8
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
63-71 Rating 1483
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
76-58 Rating 1540
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 415 388
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 134 134
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 47% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 58%