Final Score: Cubs 19 - Mariners 2
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
74-56 Rating 1540
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Mariners
62-68 Rating 1508
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Mariners
All-time wins 18 12
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Mariners
Games played 130 130
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.3
Win percentage 57% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 55%