Final Score: Mariners 3 - Astros 2
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET
Mariners @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 105 | 137 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 5 |
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 124 | 124 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 51% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Houston Astros
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Houston Astros
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ New York Yankees
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Yankees
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ New York Yankees
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Astros
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2