Final Score: Astros 6 - Padres 3
Friday, August 7, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Astros @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 322 | 297 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Astros | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 116 | 116 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 56% |
Recent Results
Astros
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 15
3-12
Padres
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7