Final Score: Cardinals 8 - Cubs 4
Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
61-61 Rating 1493
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
72-51 Rating 1549
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 481 473
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 122 123
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.3
Win percentage 50% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 60%