Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Cubs 3
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
54-61 Rating 1512
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
66-49 Rating 1543
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Cubs
All-time wins 15 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Cubs
Games played 115 115
Avg runs scored 3.9 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.3
Win percentage 47% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 59%