Final Score: Cubs 8 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Cubs @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 321 | 339 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Cubs | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 119 | 120 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 43% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs New York Yankees
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Yankees
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Yankees
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
Nationals
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6