Final Score: Reds 3 - Nationals 5
Friday, August 7, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Reds @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 271 | 251 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 15 | 1 |
| Stat | Reds | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 114 | 117 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 40% |
Recent Results
Reds
vs Athletics
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
Nationals
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6