Final Score: Nationals 0 - Phillies 0
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
35-35 Rating 1463
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Phillies
37-32 Rating 1548
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 462 507
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 70 69
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.3
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 53%