Final Score: Pirates 0 - Reds 0
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
35-35 Rating 1478
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Reds
32-36 Rating 1488
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 394 434
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 70 68
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 50% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 48%