Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Reds 5
Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cardinals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
65-62 Rating 1500
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
60-66 Rating 1486
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Reds
All-time wins 415 383
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Reds
Games played 127 126
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 47%