Final Score: Marlins 8 - Reds 4
Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
62-61 Rating 1492
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
59-62 Rating 1493
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 108 140
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 123 121
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 50% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 49%