Final Score: Pirates 13 - Marlins 1
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
58-64 Rating 1474
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
62-59 Rating 1496
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Marlins
All-time wins 128 112
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Marlins
Games played 122 121
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 48% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 61%