Final Score: Mets 6 - Pirates 4
Friday, August 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Mets @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
50-66 Rating 1485
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.2
Pirates
57-60 Rating 1480
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Pirates
All-time wins 340 320
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Pirates
Games played 116 117
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 43% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%